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Giorgio Cafiero

Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

Analysis: As Commander-in-Chief, Trump will be responsible for making tough decisions concerning the future of America's military presence in Syria and Iraq.

21 November, 2024

Analysis: Trump's transactional approach might suit Turkish officials, but tensions could emerge over US policy on Iran, the YPG in Syria, and Israel's wars.

14 November, 2024

Analysis: Trump's return to the White House will have profound implications for US foreign policy in the Middle East at a time of unprecedented conflict.

07 November, 2024

Analysis: Whether Trump or Harris, the next US president will have a significant impact on the fate of the Middle East.

30 October, 2024

Analysis: The Biden administration said it wanted to avoid a regional war, but its unconditional support for Israel ended up fuelling one instead.

23 October, 2024

Analysis: In anticipation of a full-scale Iran-Israel war, Gulf states are opting for diplomacy and engagement over confrontation and military escalation.

16 October, 2024

Analysis: The war on Gaza has done irreversible damage to Israel's international image, as well as the moral credibility of the Western-led international order.

09 October, 2024

Analysis: The normalisation camp's expansion was once seen as inevitable by some, but Israel's brutal war on Gaza has changed the equation.

07 October, 2024

Analysis: Israel's decision to escalate a multifront war has left Iran with a dilemma in how to respond, with the Middle East bracing for what comes next.

30 September, 2024

Analysis: Israel's military escalation aims to return displaced Israelis to the north and decouple Hezbollah from a ceasefire in Gaza. It is a high-risk gamble.

25 September, 2024